Pakistan’s improbable equation against Bangladesh

New Zealand were all but ensured of a semifinal berth despite losing their third game in a row after the loss against England yesterday due to the colossal difference in run-rate between them and Pakistan.

The equation is an improbable one for Pakistan even if they manage to beat Bangladesh in tomorrow's match. Pakistan will need a 316-run win against the Tigers by batting first. If Pakistan score 400, they will need to bowl Bangladesh out for just 84 runs. Pakistan will have no chance to go through to the semis if Bangladesh win the toss and elect to bat first.

New Zealand's current run-rate is 0.175 but Pakistan stand at a negative run-rate of -0.792. If Bangladesh win, then they can finish above Pakistan in the standings.