Coronavirus

‘60pc of global population at risk if coronavirus not contained’

Says Hong Kong’s leading public health epidemiologist
impact of coronavirus
A child waves as she sits in a vehicle carrying residents evacuated from a public housing building, following the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, outside Hong Mei House, at Cheung Hong Estate in Hong Kong, China February 11, 2020. Photo: Photo: REUTERS/Tyrone Siu

Around two-thirds of the world population could be affected by the coronavirus if it cannot be contained, Hong Kong's leading public health epidemiologist said today, according to a report by The Guardian.

The warning comes right after the head of the World Health Organization (WHO) said recent cases of coronavirus patients who had never visited China could be just the "tip of the iceberg".

The most important thing now is to figure out the size of the iceberg, Prof Gabriel Leung, the chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University said.

According to experts, each person infected will go on to transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people, which gives the coronavirus an "attack rate" of 60-80%, The Guardian report said.

"Is 60-80 percent of the world's population going to get infected? Maybe not. Maybe this will come in waves. Maybe the virus is going to attenuate its lethality because it certainly doesn't help it if it kills everybody in its path, because it will get killed as well," Leung said.

"How long can you close schools for? How long can you lock down an entire city for? How long can you keep people away from shopping malls? And if you remove those [restrictions], then is it all going to come right back and rage again? So those are very real questions."

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‘60pc of global population at risk if coronavirus not contained’

Says Hong Kong’s leading public health epidemiologist
impact of coronavirus
A child waves as she sits in a vehicle carrying residents evacuated from a public housing building, following the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, outside Hong Mei House, at Cheung Hong Estate in Hong Kong, China February 11, 2020. Photo: Photo: REUTERS/Tyrone Siu

Around two-thirds of the world population could be affected by the coronavirus if it cannot be contained, Hong Kong's leading public health epidemiologist said today, according to a report by The Guardian.

The warning comes right after the head of the World Health Organization (WHO) said recent cases of coronavirus patients who had never visited China could be just the "tip of the iceberg".

The most important thing now is to figure out the size of the iceberg, Prof Gabriel Leung, the chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University said.

According to experts, each person infected will go on to transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people, which gives the coronavirus an "attack rate" of 60-80%, The Guardian report said.

"Is 60-80 percent of the world's population going to get infected? Maybe not. Maybe this will come in waves. Maybe the virus is going to attenuate its lethality because it certainly doesn't help it if it kills everybody in its path, because it will get killed as well," Leung said.

"How long can you close schools for? How long can you lock down an entire city for? How long can you keep people away from shopping malls? And if you remove those [restrictions], then is it all going to come right back and rage again? So those are very real questions."

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প্রতি বছর প্রায় সাড়ে তিন লাখ বাংলাদেশি ভারতে চিকিৎসা নিতে যান। ভিসা বিধিনিষেধ দেশের স্বাস্থ্য খাতে সমস্যাগুলোর সমাধান ও বিদেশে যাওয়া রোগীদের দেশে চিকিৎসা দেওয়ার সুযোগ এনে দিয়েছে।

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